US EQUITY MACRO + BREADTH
Focused on Macro & Cross-Asset Signals
An institutional framework spanning growth, liquidity, inflation, and risk appetite, integrating volatility, rates, credit, breadth, and cross-asset confirmation into a traceable macro baseline.
Current State
Neutral
Confidence: 41%
Browse Indicators
50
Top 12 Indicators
Last updated:
06/03/2026, 22:32
SCHEDULED UPDATES
CONCLUSION FIRST
Last updated: 06/03/2026, 22:32
Actionable suggestion
Signals are mixed, so keep neutral sizing until the next confirmation update.
Risk Profile
Choose conservative, balanced, or aggressive interpretation for state thresholds.
Balanced baseline and selected profile: Neutral → Neutral
Profile thresholds (risk-off / risk-on): -0.35 / +0.35 · Profile: Balanced
STRUCTURED PAGES
Each indicator page documents signal definition, transmission logic, and regime context for repeatable reference.
D / M / Q
Each series supports daily, monthly, and quarterly lenses with exact date-level inspection.
SCHEDULED UPDATES
Business-day post-close refresh with controlled delivery standards for reliability under peak demand.
Market Regime
Single-state macro risk posture derived from weighted voting across volatility, rates, credit, and participation signals.
10-Second Market Status
Last updated: 06/03/2026, 22:32
Transition: Neutral → Neutral · Score delta: 0.00
Market status is unchanged versus the previous snapshot.
No material driver delta versus the previous snapshot.
Top 12 Indicators
Priority deep links for high-signal macro indicators. Use the full library for complete 50-indicator coverage.
01
VIX Volatility Index
Market-implied 30-day volatility, commonly used as a benchmark for hedging demand.
Open indicator briefing
02
VIX Term Structure (VIX/VXV)
Shape shift between short-end and 3M implied volatility; inversion often appears in risk events.
Open indicator briefing
03
High Yield Spread (HY OAS)
A core credit risk premium signal; widening spreads often indicate risk-off pressure.
Open indicator briefing
04
Yield Curve Spread (10Y-2Y)
Classic term-structure signal for macro growth and liquidity expectations.
Open indicator briefing
05
Financial Conditions (NFCI)
Financial conditions index where >0 is often interpreted as tighter conditions.
Open indicator briefing
06
Equal-Weight Breadth (RSP/SPY)
Assesses whether index gains are broad-based or concentrated in large-cap leaders.
Open indicator briefing
07
Credit Risk Appetite (HYG/IEF)
Relative strength of high-yield credit versus Treasuries as a risk appetite proxy.
Open indicator briefing
08
CPI YoY
Tracks CPI YoY within Macrold's Inflation & Expectations framework.
Open indicator briefing
09
Core PCE YoY
Tracks Core PCE YoY within Macrold's Inflation & Expectations framework.
Open indicator briefing
10
Fed Funds Target Upper
Tracks Fed Funds Target Upper within Macrold's Policy & Liquidity framework.
Open indicator briefing
11
Unemployment Rate U3
Tracks Unemployment Rate U3 within Macrold's Growth & Employment framework.
Open indicator briefing
12
NFP Nonfarm Payrolls
Tracks NFP Nonfarm Payrolls within Macrold's Growth & Employment framework.
Open indicator briefing
Macrold integrates macro regime, credit transmission, and breadth diffusion into a single institutional research surface with structured internal linkages and controlled update governance.